Preseason Rankings
Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#85
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.6#332
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#109
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#66
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 2.9% 5.5% 1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.5% 23.9% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.9% 23.1% 8.4%
Average Seed 8.7 8.4 9.1
.500 or above 51.6% 70.4% 40.2%
.500 or above in Conference 23.1% 37.8% 14.1%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.2% 5.8% 22.5%
First Four3.0% 4.1% 2.3%
First Round13.1% 22.0% 7.7%
Second Round6.7% 11.4% 3.8%
Sweet Sixteen2.1% 3.6% 1.2%
Elite Eight0.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 37.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 10
Quad 23 - 45 - 14
Quad 33 - 18 - 15
Quad 47 - 015 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 81   @ Clemson L 61-64 38%    
  Nov 08, 2019 348   Coppin St. W 80-56 99%    
  Nov 13, 2019 340   South Carolina Upstate W 79-57 98%    
  Nov 16, 2019 227   Lehigh W 79-66 88%    
  Nov 20, 2019 349   Delaware St. W 63-39 98%    
  Nov 25, 2019 1   Michigan St. L 60-76 8%    
  Dec 06, 2019 3   Duke L 67-77 19%    
  Dec 11, 2019 235   Chattanooga W 73-60 87%    
  Dec 15, 2019 176   Gardner-Webb W 72-62 81%    
  Dec 21, 2019 300   VMI W 80-63 93%    
  Dec 29, 2019 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 59-34 98%    
  Jan 04, 2020 10   @ Virginia L 51-64 13%    
  Jan 07, 2020 59   @ Syracuse L 61-67 31%    
  Jan 11, 2020 22   North Carolina St. L 71-74 38%    
  Jan 14, 2020 91   @ Wake Forest L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 18, 2020 59   Syracuse W 64-63 51%    
  Jan 22, 2020 5   North Carolina L 71-81 21%    
  Jan 25, 2020 101   @ Boston College L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 28, 2020 63   @ Miami (FL) L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 01, 2020 18   Florida St. L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 04, 2020 75   @ Georgia Tech L 63-67 38%    
  Feb 08, 2020 101   Boston College W 69-64 66%    
  Feb 15, 2020 72   Pittsburgh W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 19, 2020 63   Miami (FL) W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 3   @ Duke L 64-80 9%    
  Feb 26, 2020 10   Virginia L 54-61 28%    
  Mar 01, 2020 6   @ Louisville L 59-75 10%    
  Mar 04, 2020 81   Clemson W 64-61 58%    
  Mar 07, 2020 41   @ Notre Dame L 61-69 26%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.8 3.2 0.7 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 3.1 4.5 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.2 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 3.2 4.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 10.9 14th
15th 0.6 1.9 3.1 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.9 15th
Total 0.6 2.1 4.1 6.8 9.0 10.7 11.6 11.5 11.0 9.6 7.2 5.7 4.2 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 81.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 38.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 25.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 10.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 61.7% 38.3% 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.0% 100.0% 11.3% 88.8% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.4% 100.0% 12.2% 87.8% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.9% 99.9% 10.8% 89.2% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 1.7% 98.4% 4.6% 93.8% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.3%
13-7 2.7% 89.1% 3.3% 85.8% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 88.7%
12-8 4.2% 75.4% 2.8% 72.7% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.0 74.7%
11-9 5.7% 54.1% 0.9% 53.2% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.6 53.7%
10-10 7.2% 25.7% 0.6% 25.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.4 25.3%
9-11 9.6% 6.2% 0.4% 5.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 9.0 5.8%
8-12 11.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.9% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.9 0.9%
7-13 11.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5 0.1%
6-14 11.6% 0.0% 0.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 11.6
5-15 10.7% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 10.7
4-16 9.0% 9.0
3-17 6.8% 6.8
2-18 4.1% 4.1
1-19 2.1% 2.1
0-20 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 14.5% 0.6% 13.9% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 85.5 13.9%